Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.520851 3.946707 4.408473 4.947133 5.559202 6.234157 7.036345
2024-10-06 3.040177 3.635500 4.328322 5.197281 6.262357 7.530737 9.163816
2024-10-13 2.621797 3.290191 4.110457 5.197536 6.609889 8.395586 10.844647
2024-10-20 2.302632 3.004128 3.902785 5.148572 6.846741 9.103489 12.367611
2024-10-27 1.971342 2.654607 3.561185 4.865442 6.715657 9.279209 13.157526
2024-11-03 1.802471 2.498964 3.453556 4.875094 6.968424 9.985206 14.748498
2024-11-10 1.696818 2.416738 3.433577 4.997382 7.382464 10.950034 16.817289
2024-11-17 1.581422 2.307375 3.360812 5.028725 7.654992 11.719254 18.659001
2024-11-24 1.480414 2.208647 3.292154 5.054764 7.914181 12.483225 20.567380
2024-12-01 1.390406 2.117804 3.225615 5.074100 8.158319 13.238359 22.536771
2024-12-08 1.280206 1.986124 3.083754 4.957249 8.163036 13.589731 23.833094
2024-12-15 1.201631 1.897967 3.002884 4.931290 8.314167 14.198021 25.650366
2024-12-22 1.125612 1.810154 2.918720 4.897456 8.457244 14.822080 27.606049
2024-12-29 1.103549 1.809621 2.978666 5.117177 9.072274 16.362407 31.524243
2025-01-05 1.043247 1.739684 2.915012 5.111188 9.271826 17.147579 34.037382
2025-01-12 0.981343 1.662232 2.831994 5.061721 9.382618 17.769970 36.288773
2025-01-19 0.889313 1.525604 2.634728 4.783535 9.025604 17.432111 36.446044
2025-01-26 0.848388 1.477115 2.591799 4.792940 9.234204 18.253165 39.244289
2025-02-02 0.826242 1.460871 2.606060 4.912943 9.675360 19.598721 43.405435
2025-02-09 0.793477 1.422715 2.576590 4.943698 9.934230 20.582648 46.856537
2025-02-16 0.762372 1.385503 2.546060 4.969252 10.183447 21.569786 50.449308
2025-02-23 0.732610 1.348826 2.513833 4.988227 10.419321 22.550312 54.161077
2025-03-02 0.689395 1.283491 2.421230 4.873550 10.349349 22.822337 56.098883